NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d46fc5e0f2d91a5175e8620f07a42daf2881f96d2066f691c0bae4db70570b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,730,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $694,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,730,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6136…5850backed Yes | 0c | 396,844$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 155,296$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.36 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,981$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…ee79backed Yes | 1c | 51,969$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Yes | 0c | 50,686$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 33,849$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 20,981$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d41…6476backed Yes | 1c | 19,565$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Yes | 0c | 15,213$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 13,741$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…8c18backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 0c | 9,122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes | 1c | 8,682$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…6a42backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 1c | 5,618$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…47a1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e275backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3259backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…a829backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…01bbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…fbdebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…e4d4backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…8cf0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…5750backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…71bdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…2652backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…fdf5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…662ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…34b7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e02backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…877ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…e024backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…57e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…6aaabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…19efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…606abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…3f8cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…fc7abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcec…5ba9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…3aa6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…1c7fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…d82fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065a…855cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…04b1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…5d22backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…d1d6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…2844backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…a1c5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…ad72backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…f841backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8905…40efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940a…b540backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…bb81backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…ea71backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…9137backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…6af9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3004…3325backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…902fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…3730backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4599…3e99backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…96aabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…666ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…794ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…8334backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…be61backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…14c7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…fef5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…7a56backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3c…b41ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…f587backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…3cd7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…113ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…d594backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…d3e7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…376abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…9654backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…d573backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…ef13backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d2…8018backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…316abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7379…b3cdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…b49dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b7…726ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…b788backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…3890backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…fc03backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…d325backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…d2b5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…2a25backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…8060backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…7b2fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4170…0a7dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…1b16backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…f31dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe296…ebbabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…b5a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,488$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…20debacked Yes | 0c | 4,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.