World Politics · resolved market
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62995cb8a7c8c0d216a8882109bd1e05574b5df87d313f06cb3e1cd5593e6d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,040,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $555,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,040,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 90,532$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.64 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 69,054$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 42,538$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,024$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,151$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 8,122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 8,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed Yes | 1c | 7,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…fa19backed Yes | 0c | 5,909$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…7a6ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,242$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 1c | 4,807$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…2f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 0c | 4,366$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 1c | 4,097$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…556fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…3e00backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…a1f3backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 3,370$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,347$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…9c3cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…10d0backed Yes | 0c | 2,698$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 0cpaid | +8,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,621$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…c1b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…bf6dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,037$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…7f02backed Yes | 1c | 1,821$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…addbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,601$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,568$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…f5e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,532$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +522.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…1849backed Yes | 1c | 1,488$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe5…ed49backed Yes | 1c | 1,450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…0ebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,366$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 870.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +221%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…90c4backed Yes | 6c | 801.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 705.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…b148backed Yes | 3c | 698.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?this page
- Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes won
- Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
- Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.