TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,876,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$630,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,876,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8ce…44c0backed Yes0c252,702$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe51a…846cbacked Yes0c252,635$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d8…ab07backed Yes0c252,545$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…5192backed Yes0c252,515$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacca…600bbacked Yes0c252,453$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516f…73d2backed Yes0c252,436$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcff3…1907backed Yes0c252,127$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…e5d8backed Yes0c235,950$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ea…6518backed Yes0c235,811$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6165…6223backed Yes0c174,278$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0b…70d5backed Yes0c158,074$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20e…c262backed Yes0c157,413$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…a9a5backed Yes0c156,156$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c1…62b5backed Yes0c156,074$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5394…7f5ebacked Yes0c133,920$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309a…2558backed Yes0c128,295$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cb…2d1ebacked Yes0c128,295$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x229e…9d40backed Yes0c115,912$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65a…ce70backed Yes0c115,912$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa1…c0ccbacked Yes0c112,767$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…c77ebacked Yes0c111,767$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ea…eb8cbacked Yes0c111,767$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c107,677$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.683614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c106,513$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.38684.4%3 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+417.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb541…00a3backed Yes0c102,420$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dd…5419backed Yes0c96,760$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e65…f032backed Yes0c92,420$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa5…9911backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe778…85b9backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae67…0bc2backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…4408backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb82…b1b1backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e55…ae8bbacked Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0636backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb910…c6a9backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4dd…26b7backed Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20a…233cbacked Yes0c89,613$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b4…35d6backed Yes0c88,864$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…11e6backed Yes0c88,708$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44f…58c0backed Yes0c87,864$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4986…0944backed Yes0c87,864$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1699…9a4bbacked Yes0c87,656$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bf53backed Yes0c87,656$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff7…08c4backed Yes0c87,630$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cdc…d8e2backed Yes0c87,621$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515e…34ccbacked Yes0c87,621$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0559…2f84backed Yes0c87,621$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757d…7b49backed Yes0c86,612$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559c…6bebbacked Yes0c84,607$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef02…4f7ebacked Yes0c79,341$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.342321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e3…24b3backed Yes0c77,608$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8744…9550backed Yes0c77,608$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3b…5fb0backed Yes0c77,608$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2982…4fd6backed Yes0c77,598$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ce…f149backed Yes0c77,593$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b3…0c7abacked Yes0c77,588$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cb…0ffcbacked Yes0c68,460$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7780…88bbbacked Yes0c67,460$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d86…d0f3backed Yes0c67,369$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9905…8272backed Yes0c67,259$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b2…5ac6backed Yes0c66,608$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d93…5a6fbacked Yes0c66,148$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc199…a5f8backed Yes0c66,148$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e4…ca93backed Yes0c66,148$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cd…4346backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc488…94c6backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d2…1903backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…6902backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c9…ce74backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830a…4e8fbacked Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e73…1203backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65f…106dbacked Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5991…e3c6backed Yes0c65,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…1694backed Yes0c64,994$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed7…d317backed Yes0c64,994$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14e…d1a4backed Yes0c58,456$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ba…e270backed Yes0c58,456$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea50…a201backed Yes0c58,456$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73fe…0758backed Yes0c58,456$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee7…12b6backed Yes0c58,456$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda97…9e8ebacked Yes0c58,456$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47be…cc20backed Yes0c58,426$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657f…01c0backed Yes0c57,426$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c1…28dfbacked Yes0c45,307$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…2234backed Yes0c44,738$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefcb…0a6dbacked Yes0c44,738$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…c4f2backed Yes0c44,738$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f6…800fbacked Yes0c39,284$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb012…d9bfbacked Yes0c39,284$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c36,186$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.254121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a21…d26abacked Yes0c32,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ac…2fe4backed Yes0c27,426$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde61…ae3cbacked Yes0c24,796$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3157…885cbacked Yes0c24,796$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc476…dad4backed Yes0c24,796$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb446…2b2ebacked Yes0c24,796$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2295…bef3backed Yes0c24,796$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0c…c3d8backed Yes0c24,796$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…ceeebacked Yes0c24,790$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.