TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Will Sentinels win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,043 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99c2…ef35backed No69c378.31$260 inWon+$118.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Yes30c205.13$61 inLost-$60.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes33c189.55$63 inLost-$62.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…7edfbacked Yes26c135.9$35 inLost-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa887…128abacked Yes9c135.56$12 inLost-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes32c134.54$42 inLost-$42.391526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes11c124.02$13 inLost-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No64c109.07$70 inWon+$38.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes33c100$33 inLost-$32.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes28c90$25 inLost-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c7…05dfbacked Yes39c77.65$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x542a…ef5ebacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed No73c51.42$37 inWon+$14.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No59c51$30 inWon+$21.0333942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes37c45.7$17 inLost-$16.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes25c44$11 inLost-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+115%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858f…9877backed No48c43.75$21 inWon+$22.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f58…9798backed No47c43.19$20 inWon+$22.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e1…b397backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8240…cb6cbacked No49c34.55$17 inWon+$17.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3a…f2a5backed Yes51c34.55$18 inLost-$17.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3845…0513backed Yes53c33.49$18 inLost-$17.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78a…96b9backed No64c29$19 inWon+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x225a…0492backed Yes36c29$10 inLost-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…e770backed No68c28.6$19 inWon+$9.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa8…7540backed Yes52c26.78$14 inLost-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3922…f5cdbacked No56c25.98$15 inWon+$11.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…95c8backed No46c25.9$12 inWon+$13.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1096…58c5backed No76c22.52$17 inWon+$5.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b9…af3dbacked No76c17.64$13 inWon+$4.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb5…9f7ebacked No76c15.86$12 inWon+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…ff31backed No80c15.66$13 inWon+$3.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…cf59backed No79c15$12 inWon+$3.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3b…22ccbacked No69c15$10 inWon+$4.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…a8bdbacked No75c14.52$11 inWon+$3.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf966…f5efbacked No79c14$11 inWon+$2.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d2…66cabacked No79c14$11 inWon+$2.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb687…306ebacked No76c13.77$10 inWon+$3.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.