AI · resolved market
Google forced to sell Chrome?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079df2834ed662a254f5cff36dbf2a7185c56f7a584d17ba353925f1a31c9d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43f6…bebcbacked Yes | 2c | 28,990$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…700fbacked Yes | 34c | 19,982$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…3602backed Yes | 14c | 11,034$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 10c | 5,342$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.03 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…19e3backed No | 64c | 4,863$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 80c | 4,101$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…df5cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,719$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 72c | 3,694$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.27 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…21a3backed Yes | 15c | 3,037$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 7c | 3,020$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 2,988$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,271$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…d854backed Yes | 5c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 74c | 2,219$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,205$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 34c | 2,100$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,091$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…0c5ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,972$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 29c | 1,855$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 13c | 1,758$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,593$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 25c | 1,585$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 79c | 1,220$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5d…58bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…fd4bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,009$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94e…0bb4backed Yes | 27c | 982.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 16c | 958.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…e434backed Yes | 6c | 946.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900a…416abacked Yes | 10c | 906.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed No | 11c | 890.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +454.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 31c | 875.19$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 2c | 819.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes | 14c | 777.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…5385backed Yes | 4c | 753.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 73c | 749.99$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 64c | 743.74$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 18c | 741.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…6a3cbacked Yes | 9c | 706.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 16c | 677.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…63b0backed Yes | 15c | 656.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7a…e07fbacked Yes | 2c | 632.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…7038backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…e932backed Yes | 3c | 491.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 71c | 436.52$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…f0a4backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 26c | 407$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 3c | 406.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…4589backed No | 75c | 393.69$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…922abacked Yes | 3c | 387.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…f9e9backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…31ebbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed Yes | 12c | 299.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…61d3backed No | 72c | 277.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 13c | 267.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…de37backed Yes | 11c | 264.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…a0aabacked Yes | 4c | 263.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…fff1backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…dbc0backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…85fabacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…adbebacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…8f71backed Yes | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…df8abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 8c | 228.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 27c | 223$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6ac0backed Yes | 10c | 216.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…b79fbacked Yes | 5c | 204.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…f932backed Yes | 11c | 202.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…4638backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…8577backed Yes | 13c | 199.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…eb5dbacked Yes | 13c | 192$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…9f00backed Yes | 26c | 183.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b4…5ee8backed Yes | 12c | 177.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…5315backed Yes | 18c | 158.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…505ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…f639backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…4dbbbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…311cbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…3724backed No | 73c | 149.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…c6eabacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.