TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 699 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed No0c10,507$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.011550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes75c6,546$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.745453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No19c2,921$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.421,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes63c2,777$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.813036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes60c2,212$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.731,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5486…f674backed Yes50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No10c1,844$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.638783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c6…46b3backed No50c1,755$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf943…a83abacked Yes64c1,473$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.581250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked No1c1,359$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed No38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.961338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes70c967.72$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.112930.2%39 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No26c957.71$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.596113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No4c914.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.28385.3%2 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-88.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No15c788.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d79…ae69backed Yes65c783$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.311643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes71c641.31$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.136113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes70c602.99$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.788853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0faa…7e86backed No7c550$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No21c513.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.62539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No23c403.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.258324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No9c399.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1315638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1514…2624backed No66c375.94$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.86666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…77c7backed Yes73c373.31$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.951625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes38c362.54$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1910243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed No31c343.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9811723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No28c313.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7526048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…b257backed No20c301.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5d…8b29backed No20c299.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…8452backed No30c291.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb711…8134backed Yes37c276.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.471428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked Yes72c266.57$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.365952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb666…1721backed Yes77c258.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed No52c250$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+75%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5827…69dcbacked Yes79c250$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes74c244.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…5d00backed No14c238.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed0…5eddbacked No10c229.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes60c227.7$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.084949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked No23c216.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.923956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No8c194.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked No31c193.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…b3fabacked No32c176.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8967…f747backed Yes77c168.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c9…3a66backed No31c161.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92a…1d7cbacked No31c161.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.64650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d1…8cbbbacked Yes71c159.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fe…d842backed No26c154.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes63c153.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6822656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x907a…76c8backed No32c152.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe680…8788backed Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+84.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes69c145.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1634169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…1367backed No35c142.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7c8…df6abacked No33c142.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6591…85b4backed Yes70c140.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0518…fb5ebacked Yes78c140$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No29c138.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.774240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a4…abc9backed Yes73c137.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.571020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-69.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes72c134.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa89…85b2backed Yes70c132.36$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2051…502fbacked Yes72c128.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11f…0b5ebacked No34c127.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152e…3e5ebacked Yes71c127.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…ff5abacked Yes78c127$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6966…b0b6backed No22c127$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb219…e792backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes40c123.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.812532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cd…a521backed No24c123$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a7…4868backed No38c122.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafae…add1backed Yes79c120.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+74.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…2bc2backed No32c116.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ca…eb95backed No35c116.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7460%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes69c115.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x821a…e4d0backed No26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338a…6094backed Yes70c114.87$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c6…5188backed No26c114.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe89…a0babacked No30c114$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c93…3ff6backed Yes71c112.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…a312backed No22c111$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e18…cfedbacked Yes78c111$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes67c110.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.631729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d8…e4e0backed No30c110.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes73c110.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7880…20dcbacked No33c110.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f43…54b0backed No18c109.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3906…8272backed Yes74c109.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9b…a866backed No35c109.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes69c109.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.137149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ec…9e04backed No36c106.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c21…797ebacked No31c105.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b80…d706backed No31c102.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e0…b138backed No32c100.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…28ffbacked No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe746…ff6abacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d8…1aefbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c4…348fbacked No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.