TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Assists?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,440,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,440,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9dfe…365ebacked Yes3c51,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d27…a843backed Yes0c11,040$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa92…264cbacked Yes0c11,040$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba9…4c48backed Yes1c11,040$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19cd…76a6backed Yes0c11,040$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701e…37fbbacked Yes0c11,040$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6029…1ad4backed Yes0c11,040$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf652…65ddbacked Yes1c11,040$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861d…2974backed Yes0c9,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd558…d126backed Yes0c9,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a3…9065backed Yes0c9,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b1…6db7backed Yes0c9,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dbe…8253backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7db…ae9bbacked Yes0c9,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857d…2e06backed Yes0c9,200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7f…2145backed Yes0c9,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d5…c773backed Yes0c9,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187a…b7f5backed Yes0c9,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927d…4b7cbacked Yes0c9,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315b…a176backed Yes0c9,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1233…21dcbacked Yes1c9,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf1…491fbacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b73…b23cbacked Yes0c9,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…16c0backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11da…46e7backed Yes1c9,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…d09ebacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b31…942ebacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0f…7c67backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0113…82cdbacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c9e…5520backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f1…4887backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbfd…6f03backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…582dbacked Yes0c9,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727c…8cb2backed Yes0c9,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9068…3b9cbacked Yes0c9,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761b…69f0backed Yes0c9,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c08…0b22backed Yes0c9,200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b32…84ebbacked Yes0c9,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…3b72backed Yes0c9,200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23eb…8082backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb1…25acbacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb397…dad1backed Yes0c9,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9472…ea98backed Yes0c9,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230e…0f81backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…538ebacked Yes1c9,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd105…33aebacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f60…3eb0backed Yes1c9,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8037…987bbacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec03…6b38backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3192…47aebacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bab…6abdbacked Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa939…80f5backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5da…31c0backed Yes1c9,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb9…a7f3backed Yes0c7,360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…7b5fbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c0…457fbacked Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276f…0bacbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda30…f4b5backed Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc04e…8574backed Yes0c7,360$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d18…a6cfbacked Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…ad21backed Yes0c7,360$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…950dbacked Yes0c7,360$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772c…94ccbacked Yes0c7,360$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669a…cec6backed Yes0c7,360$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cba…89dabacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe662…1e3abacked Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…c4fdbacked Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d2…5c5fbacked Yes0c7,360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2058…bc9ebacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d29…eee2backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143b…97efbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f4…447abacked Yes1c7,360$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb284…ec31backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01d…da59backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1d…6256backed Yes0c7,360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a73…b447backed Yes0c7,360$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c10…9344backed Yes0c7,360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0d…2f75backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9f…5d44backed Yes0c7,360$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…15e7backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7caf…237ebacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ac…ac00backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fa…b64bbacked Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae8…5f26backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8486…506bbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e9…4bf0backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…0a38backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…b6bfbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7d…7ee8backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa240…d238backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdacb…b0afbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…e116backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6976backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebca…ab8fbacked Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad08…89c5backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e6…9c51backed Yes1c7,360$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…d456backed Yes0c7,360$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e5…d260backed Yes0c7,360$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412d…7f88backed Yes0c7,360$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e22…c54bbacked Yes0c7,360$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.