Token Launches · resolved market
Will Berachain launch a token in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4ee8afff0ccaf59a797ddd5c5b0974fab90b77ea990feecdcd274e8bde90c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b14…f1d4backed Yes | 9c | 90,066$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,279.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Yes | 36c | 15,690$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked No | 79c | 14,235$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 15c | 12,266$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 9c | 8,202$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed No | 57c | 7,479$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…6790backed Yes | 8c | 7,407$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13a…0339backed Yes | 21c | 7,139$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 6,843$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.22 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…bb6cbacked Yes | 33c | 5,935$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…8c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,216$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…d10dbacked Yes | 15c | 4,100$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…51e6backed Yes | 25c | 4,043$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…9fbbbacked Yes | 31c | 3,139$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…a222backed No | 68c | 3,000$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3b…eaafbacked Yes | 32c | 2,605$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2ee3backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,975$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 5c | 1,865$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…c814backed Yes | 28c | 1,793$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 1,734$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 80c | 1,290$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…49aebacked No | 68c | 1,156$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…9542backed Yes | 9c | 1,114$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…2d44backed Yes | 9c | 1,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…aaacbacked Yes | 1c | 1,035$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…c8c3backed Yes | 15c | 1,026$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…7ad0backed Yes | 15c | 987.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26d…1834backed Yes | 25c | 941.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea3…6a0abacked Yes | 9c | 930.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…5422backed Yes | 1c | 912.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…b44ebacked No | 74c | 904.14$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +442%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…9985backed No | 73c | 878.83$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e774backed Yes | 12c | 878.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 79c | 799$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 15c | 679.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…2c59backed Yes | 3c | 675.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 67c | 663.42$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…7976backed Yes | 32c | 653.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 9c | 578.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +371.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…4ccabacked No | 71c | 559.34$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 72c | 550$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…2566backed Yes | 19c | 503.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…2507backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…791cbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked No | 80c | 443.58$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 442.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…b81cbacked Yes | 29c | 418.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 10c | 378.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…0a61backed Yes | 19c | 376.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 60c | 350.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…e704backed Yes | 31c | 323.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…8f91backed Yes | 16c | 310.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 5c | 300.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a6…5efdbacked Yes | 14c | 289.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…2dc9backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…9bcfbacked No | 80c | 284.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…a636backed Yes | 11c | 242.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 77c | 225$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 219.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Yes | 11c | 208.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 73c | 202.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed No | 57c | 181.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…ad35backed No | 36c | 170.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…cf17backed Yes | 29c | 167.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 164.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…97a9backed Yes | 31c | 159.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…6fc9backed Yes | 16c | 159.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 30c | 151$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…e22ebacked No | 79c | 147.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…5c13backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0450backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…b1a3backed Yes | 22c | 88.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 23c | 86.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…dbe5backed Yes | 23c | 75.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…59a7backed No | 67c | 67.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…bb40backed No | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…51babacked Yes | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…6eb9backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…0440backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…d555backed No | 66c | 45.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…621ebacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…e07bbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…5c05backed No | 68c | 35.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…78aebacked No | 73c | 31.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…a633backed Yes | 32c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 65c | 30.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 75c | 28.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…bd36backed No | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…3553backed No | 67c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed No | 78c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.