Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea lead the EPL in points at midway point?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc31a13785ec26c03db898a1e60a243cba2a09831759d54ec2b059dc5e13e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31a5…598bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ba48backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…e46dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…638fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…e3a1backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…0eecbacked Yes | 0c | 7,499$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 1c | 2,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 18c | 1,732$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.54 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 1,562$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 12c | 957.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 676.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…8371backed Yes | 28c | 350.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 225.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…6856backed Yes | 33c | 149.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 25c | 144.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab34…2733backed Yes | 31c | 106.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed Yes | 26c | 90.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…01febacked Yes | 30c | 75.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…fbd6backed No | 74c | 75.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…44e1backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…817cbacked Yes | 29c | 71.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…f6c4backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 27c | 47.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…2672backed Yes | 35c | 37.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea lead the EPL in points at midway point?this page
- Will Arsenal lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Aston Villa lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Brighton lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Fulham lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes won
- Will Manchester City lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Newcastle lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will Tottenham lead the EPL in points at midway point?No won
- Will another team lead the EPL in points at the midway point?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.