Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: SK Brann O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52ef761730191a5ac716be11d6eaf2519f2b4dd0c3ab613aa6f4151898dcf6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 59c | 3,794$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.96 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 2,327$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.67 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,422$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.11 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…e1cfbacked Over | 1c | 1,140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…11babacked Over | 61c | 848.35$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 639.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Over | 61c | 246.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 39c | 241.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 40c | 204$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 62c | 162.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 154.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 130.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 126.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Over | 62c | 111.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 42c | 105.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 41c | 79.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 64.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 44c | 49.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 46.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 43.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 61c | 37.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 61c | 27.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 44c | 26.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: SK Brann O/U 1.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.