TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Apóllon Lemesoúof SK Brann, Apóllon Lemesoú
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed SK Brann32c8,178$2,595 inLost-$2,595.365639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Apóllon Lemesoú69c6,897$4,760 inWon+$2,137.512,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked SK Brann36c1,379$500 inLost-$5003420.6%7 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Apóllon Lemesoú64c1,193$762 inWon+$431.451,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Apóllon Lemesoú70c1,100$770 inWon+$3302,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Apóllon Lemesoú63c178$112 inWon+$65.8638144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Apóllon Lemesoú65c100$65 inWon+$351758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Apóllon Lemesoú69c43.49$30 inWon+$13.494763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Apóllon Lemesoú70c42.89$30 inWon+$12.896657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Apóllon Lemesoú67c31.27$21 inWon+$10.327560%45 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Apóllon Lemesoú66c30.09$20 inWon+$10.2318252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Apóllon Lemesoú79c28.8$23 inWon+$6.012,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.