TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,461 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c3,020$847 inWon+$2,173.062,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under17c2,414$406 inWon+$2,007.6438144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over66c965.44$637 inLost-$637.0455845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under19c928.22$175 inWon+$752.8696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c754.62$451 inLost-$451.172,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under19c656.62$127 inWon+$529.6535146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over80c490.53$392 inLost-$392.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under16c468$75 inWon+$393.121,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over6c454$25 inLost-$25.245839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under59c415.22$245 inWon+$170.213056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under71c276.52$196 inWon+$80.973253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over79c264.45$210 inLost-$21020660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under18c245.42$44 inWon+$201.7926417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c242.65$26 inLost-$25.952,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under21c230.14$48 inWon+$181.8115544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under21c225.43$47 inWon+$178.093132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over44c222.14$98 inLost-$97.741947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under79c204.66$161 inWon+$43.8733446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under17c204.36$35 inWon+$169.6213450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under18c200$36 inWon+$164.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under27c185.18$50 inWon+$135.185158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under16c156$25 inWon+$131.041,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over38c151.39$58 inLost-$57.5397346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under24c143.76$35 inWon+$109.2637446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x304a…3d25backed Over76c143.76$109 inLost-$109.261050%5 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c113.48$19 inWon+$93.9866150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under18c99.89$18 inWon+$81.8465549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under19c95.81$18 inWon+$77.942,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over59c85.35$50 inLost-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c80$19 inLost-$19.233522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under23c64.63$15 inWon+$49.725444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0327…23a4backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Under42c34.47$14 inWon+$20.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+53.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18cd…b710backed Under55c19.38$11 inWon+$8.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under80c18.77$15 inWon+$3.791,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.