Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57223dfa35446a50f553fa5d02c83126195277715260f13f23171e79f315ad00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 6,258$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.25 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 3,099$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.66 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 1,780$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 59c | 1,705$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 781.55$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.69 | 1,103 | 45.3%500 W · 603 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 719.35$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.32 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 60c | 617.5$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 590.18$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 42c | 521.32$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.11 | 357 | 46.2%165 W · 192 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 432.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 60c | 285.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 59c | 245.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 76c | 197$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…30b9backed Over | 62c | 178.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 59.1%137 W · 95 L | -19.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 60c | 147.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 141.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 140.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…d3fabacked Over | 59c | 130.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 43c | 122.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed Under | 47c | 106.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 39c | 100.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 88.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 86.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Over | 58c | 83.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 75.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 41c | 59.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0fbdbacked Over | 39c | 48.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Over | 59c | 36.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 41c | 35.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 55c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 55c | 28.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: SK Brann O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.