Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b7b2199744dd3bdcd91222ba3624e367832ec7ca4d2dc3f88320596eacc5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 26c | 2,875$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.2 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 2,672$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 2,074$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.61 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 1,939$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 1,136$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 1,055$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 37c | 762.16$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 65c | 744.28$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 66c | 548.52$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 528.82$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 510.64$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 33c | 450$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 350.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 64c | 215.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 25c | 192.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 185.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0fbdbacked Over | 30c | 77.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Over | 36c | 68.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 24c | 60.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 36c | 42.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 24c | 42.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 67c | 28.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Apóllon Lemesoú O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: SK Brann O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Apóllon Lemesoú (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Apóllon Lemesoú won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.