Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e929c21b9ccdbb887b0555790d0dcf93d9455fc961570fd7fe69994268a7e62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $904,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $924,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $904,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd9…46d5backed Yes | 4c | 62,982$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 4c | 50,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ed…0b49backed Yes | 1c | 18,389$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…0de6backed Yes | 10c | 18,004$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…12cfbacked Yes | 9c | 16,634$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…0849backed Yes | 1c | 16,156$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…8e8abacked Yes | 4c | 12,444$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…fb54backed Yes | 3c | 11,842$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,501$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…870cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,910$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 10c | 9,593$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 3c | 8,779$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,767$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 4c | 8,357$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 4c | 7,866$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…5692backed Yes | 1c | 7,472$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 10c | 6,342$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed Yes | 1c | 5,574$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 4c | 5,399$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 5c | 5,350$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…3e40backed Yes | 6c | 5,093$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 12c | 4,994$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 4,708$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…84eabacked Yes | 9c | 4,426$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 4,295$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.62 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…ffa8backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…eaf9backed Yes | 4c | 3,599$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…53ffbacked Yes | 5c | 3,510$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +217.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 2c | 3,464$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…862ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,001$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…4edfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,989$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed Yes | 7c | 2,876$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…ed17backed Yes | 3c | 2,730$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…a50fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 9c | 2,659$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,507$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ae…0c6cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,485$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 6c | 2,400$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 3c | 2,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 9c | 2,208$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…219cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,154$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…6a9abacked Yes | 1c | 2,120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 14c | 2,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 2,110$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 3c | 2,106$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…b460backed Yes | 5c | 1,986$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 3c | 1,970$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,921$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268a…4517backed Yes | 8c | 1,862$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,852$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…af2dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed Yes | 14c | 1,764$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 2c | 1,759$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…554bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,724$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…b0e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,553$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…51a1backed Yes | 11c | 1,515$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,440$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…b3d8backed Yes | 5c | 1,422$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 1,398$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,292$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…3603backed Yes | 9c | 1,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…3d94backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…615dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,159$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,133$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf810…4feabacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 7c | 1,099$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…530abacked Yes | 3c | 1,092$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…85bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,074$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 10c | 1,057$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…dadcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…d7d0backed Yes | 6c | 1,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…595cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…091fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…2575backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed Yes | 12c | 840.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…9cc9backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 824.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8c6ebacked Yes | 3c | 800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 11c | 780$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Yes | 3c | 746.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 4c | 729.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked Yes | 3c | 701.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Yes | 11c | 679.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes | 12c | 669.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.