World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4466fe07c85f5478ca87f2fb28ee569d5d1b1c3e90d24bc1d8ae720ace09e737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 13c | 868.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 20c | 762.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 33c | 606.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 28c | 590$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 35c | 513.09$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 19c | 443.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 4c | 415.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 63c | 366.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 365.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 76c | 320.67$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 38c | 307.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 307.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 71c | 298.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed Yes | 28c | 273.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 270.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 264$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 255.22$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Yes | 27c | 223.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 215.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 48c | 209.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 72c | 208.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 195.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 27c | 189.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 188.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 187.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked Yes | 28c | 179.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…625cbacked No | 60c | 165.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…28a3backed No | 59c | 164.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 29c | 164$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 37c | 158$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe718…1e2bbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…add8backed No | 66c | 151.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…af35backed No | 66c | 151.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 73c | 151.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 14c | 139.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 36c | 137.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 135.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 71c | 133.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 57c | 121.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 44c | 113.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 107.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 77c | 103.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 55c | 102.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 20c | 98.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…f78ebacked Yes | 37c | 96.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 46c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 21c | 82.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 71c | 76.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…eeb5backed Yes | 20c | 76.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 36c | 75.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 63c | 75.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 75.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 43c | 73.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 69c | 69.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed Yes | 46c | 65.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 62.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 62.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 40c | 62.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 64c | 56.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 25c | 51.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 36c | 51.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…4346backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5211…2f44backed Yes | 35c | 43.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 79c | 42.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…dbdabacked Yes | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 66c | 37.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 41c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 71c | 36.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…bc44backed No | 78c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 31.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 37c | 31.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 77c | 30.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 62c | 30.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…3cc3backed No | 54c | 28.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 58 | 81%47 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.