CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. Imperial
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321805ff71713cafaea126cba3fa8539f73859211bca92c6a0b6f2ef50db7cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Imperial | 21c | 4,348$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.82 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 14c | 2,075$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Imperial | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Imperial | 18c | 1,233$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,220$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.19 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Imperial | 13c | 1,187$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ | 77c | 1,132$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Imperial | 34c | 659.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.98 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed MOUZ | 79c | 638.23$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Imperial | 11c | 583$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Imperial | 25c | 525.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Imperial | 31c | 519.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Imperial | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ed25backed MOUZ | 64c | 468.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ | 66c | 454.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed MOUZ | 73c | 422.22$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Imperial | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Imperial | 12c | 387.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Imperial | 3c | 381.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked Imperial | 20c | 342.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 65c | 318.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 80c | 314.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Imperial | 33c | 284.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 71c | 280.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Imperial | 40c | 250.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Imperial | 31c | 249.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Imperial | 26c | 219.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Imperial | 15c | 217.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Imperial | 24c | 207.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Imperial | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ | 76c | 158.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Imperial | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked MOUZ | 66c | 147.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed MOUZ | 74c | 141.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed MOUZ | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Imperial | 40c | 131.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed MOUZ | 78c | 127.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Imperial | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed MOUZ | 79c | 102.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Imperial | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…a275backed Imperial | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed MOUZ | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked MOUZ | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Imperial | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ | 76c | 93.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed MOUZ | 76c | 91.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Imperial | 35c | 86.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked MOUZ | 69c | 86.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Imperial | 22c | 83.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed MOUZ | 79c | 83.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Imperial | 29c | 68.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Imperial | 32c | 62.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Imperial | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed MOUZ | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed MOUZ | 75c | 31.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Imperial | 46c | 27.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed MOUZ | 64c | 25.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Imperial | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed MOUZ | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…b87fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…3967backed MOUZ | 66c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.