Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba0f0a610e0cb939b7223c45149c7fa333fad2f0e6cec23532a9e9e273493ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 46c | 2,059$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.15 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 54c | 461$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed Yes | 44c | 449.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 29.4%64 W · 154 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 71c | 404.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 56c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 36c | 394.48$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 35c | 364.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 326.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 57c | 261.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 44c | 246.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 242$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 52c | 214$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 54c | 207.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 54c | 193.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…7bfcbacked No | 48c | 183.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 170.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 51c | 153.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 149$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 148.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 43c | 148.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 42c | 140.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 50c | 119.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…649abacked Yes | 45c | 118.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 46c | 112.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 61c | 108.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 55c | 103.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…3464backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 27c | 89.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 88.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 86.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 84.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 33c | 71.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…463ebacked No | 54c | 70.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 54c | 69.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 38c | 68.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 67.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…7c21backed Yes | 65c | 61.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 44c | 61.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…44b7backed No | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…35d0backed No | 66c | 60.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 48c | 57.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -14.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 57c | 43.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked No | 47c | 41.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 24c | 41.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 55c | 40.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…e8d0backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed Yes | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 34.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 69c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 32.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 30.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 78c | 28.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…e94bbacked Yes | 64c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 68c | 27.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 25.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…082cbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…c47cbacked Yes | 63c | 24.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked No | 70c | 23.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 52c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 68c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -16.6wins | -0.29per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 78c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…4bc3backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 73c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.