Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd12b99aa432b94f851e5761144baf4c8773e2ad83996f6bee8fe68098d8a28b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 1,903$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,404$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,057$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 71c | 871.42$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.36 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 68c | 660.19$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 34c | 658.8$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…6ecabacked No | 38c | 649$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.89 | 54 | 92.6%50 W · 4 L | +17.4wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 22c | 423.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.9 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 38c | 378.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 55c | 378.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 30c | 303.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 27c | 211$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 31c | 190.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 42c | 158.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 156.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 59c | 153.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 150.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 28c | 135.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 42c | 131.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…eb6ebacked Yes | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 42c | 123.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 40c | 121.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 79c | 117.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f1…eed4backed Yes | 73c | 117.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 77c | 105$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 35c | 100.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 97.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 40c | 89.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 57c | 86.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…a1abbacked Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 84.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked No | 34c | 83.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 56c | 70.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…8690backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…3cd1backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 42c | 66.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 62.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 58c | 60.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 60c | 57.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 59c | 57.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 80c | 55.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 58c | 53.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…2c35backed Yes | 62c | 51.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 21c | 51.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…5900backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -34.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 31c | 49.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…2a2abacked Yes | 58c | 44.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a1…5ef3backed Yes | 60c | 41.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 41c | 36.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 30c | 36.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 44c | 32.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 78c | 31.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 72c | 31.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 57c | 30.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…b7cabacked Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 74c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…fc8bbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 60c | 20.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 68c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…224ebacked Yes | 70c | 20.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…0b98backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Yes | 64c | 19.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3770backed Yes | 62c | 19.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Yes | 72c | 19.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 60c | 19.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed Yes | 76c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 76c | 14.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…5897backed Yes | 74c | 13.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -20.8wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…53d0backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.