TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed Yes46c41,098$18,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,703.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No54c20,380$11,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,278.522352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes44c9,990$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4272,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c8,886$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.252,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No50c8,600$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3001650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Yes43c8,238$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.392119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No51c7,793$3,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.575639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes44c6,288$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.553844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Yes46c5,435$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes49c5,212$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c5,090$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.8143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c4,676$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.8712057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c3,963$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.571,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No53c3,574$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.0917446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c2,420$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.793,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c2,156$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.671,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No54c1,752$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.877565.3%49 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c1,388$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.788048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c1,363$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.891,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c1,318$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.9769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c1,229$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No56c1,213$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.671,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No54c920.22$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.35632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c793.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.742,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes45c791$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No28c776.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.066630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c747.31$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No30c734.67$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.313036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+94.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c622.47$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes3c583$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4d…59aebacked Yes45c537.2$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No57c526.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.314443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No52c523$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6538144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No57c517.36$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.387245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No53c500$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2335174.5%38 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No47c461.61$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.355845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c450$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No38c444.5$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.593030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No34c444.49$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.794131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c438.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5914744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes48c411.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6310157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18465549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd32…f000backed No52c351.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes70c318.33$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8363857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes49c316.53$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Yes80c275$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c251.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa946…7bc4backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes80c237.66$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b10…2920backed No41c224.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No54c216.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.661833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd083…80dbbacked No52c212.85$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes42c211$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3117443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes36c196.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3897346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No49c192.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.181546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes79c190.56$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.41,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No49c187.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.784344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No52c180.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8644156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5d4…3ef7backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c177$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3427039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes44c157.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.336356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes66c154$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.264327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b49…2e46backed No50c144.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No54c136.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0539357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c119$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.791,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes55c114.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4547…c28bbacked No21c113.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.771338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+144.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes49c108.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.332433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No29c99.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9914637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No58c99.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.826958%40 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No30c99.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.514344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes42c96.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5120244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes70c90.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.071926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes41c89.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5112548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed Yes45c86.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked No32c80.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.924351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Yes47c80.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2527554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca41…5037backed Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No50c64.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.246639.4%26 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed No54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.442050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054f…2e20backed No59c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…5e6fbacked Yes49c61.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Yes49c60.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Yes42c57.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No59c57.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed No57c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.081450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2610839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes45c54.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3719163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2311…99ecbacked Yes46c53.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No59c52.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.385260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes61c51.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.895750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No55c51.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1253564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.