MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5d297b6c89a0ab4f9ab6696d22fdd32371e8a23f975cf86047a58c365355c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Minnesota Twins, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 186,052$106,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,002.27 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 56,790$23,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,957.8 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 25,898$8,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,987 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 18,329$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,881.58 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 16,277$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 12,259$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.37 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 11,235$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 10,689$7,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.8 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 9,412$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.95 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 9,102$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.01 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 8,474$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.87 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 8,225$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.74 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 6,062$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.59 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,506$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.15 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,189$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 5,189$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.42 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 4,980$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.12 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 4,882$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.7 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,495$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.9 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 3,388$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.53 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,347$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,258$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 3,254$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.02 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 3,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 2,673$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.18 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,500$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 2,480$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 2,475$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,356$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.83 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,278$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 2,261$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.51 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 2,245$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 1,458$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,408$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.51 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,386$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.32 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,314$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,193$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.96 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,154$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.22 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.88 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 1,064$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,060$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 1,043$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,031$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 995.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 964.78$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 889.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 872.09$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 835.81$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.96 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 795.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 780$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 774.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 706.88$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 663.6$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.35 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 651$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 613.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 608.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 565$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 561.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 561$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 525.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 522$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 506.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 501.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 709 | 50.1%355 W · 354 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 487.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 442.28$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 385.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 384.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.51 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 375.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 343$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 314.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 307.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 304.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 284$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 279.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 276.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 275.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 275.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.