WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91dce4f6f8733b38937d801974f74775f53155f62070ac376834a6d9051d2ef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 8,947$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.54 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 4,145$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.86 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 3,869$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 2,212$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.13 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 1,079$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.87 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 1,064$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 937.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.26 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 919.71$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.44 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 48c | 863.66$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 33c | 585$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 54c | 433.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 32c | 400.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 255.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 48c | 235.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 47c | 213$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 207$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 47c | 192.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 190.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 184.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 47c | 163.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 148.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 71c | 122.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 18c | 121.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 71c | 120.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 27c | 106.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 99.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 71c | 97.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Under | 53c | 94.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 38c | 94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 41c | 92.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 91.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 59c | 89.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 87.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 54c | 75.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 18c | 69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 67.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 65.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 59.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 27c | 57.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 44c | 54.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 67c | 53.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 69c | 53.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 28c | 48.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 67c | 40.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 67c | 33.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 71c | 32.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Over | 52c | 26.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 63c | 25.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 76c | 18.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.