WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4057632594f682fa9b256c45fd5ddb1343c805060d1111760392be69ac81c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 47c | 27,011$12,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,695.17 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under | 53c | 12,787$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 7,069$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.28 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 4,304$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.77 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 27c | 4,263$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.92 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 53c | 3,594$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.13 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 49c | 2,975$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.79 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 2,695$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.41 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 2,505$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 2,501$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.67 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 2,018$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.42 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 51c | 1,820$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.8 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 1,810$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.41 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Over | 49c | 1,805$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 1,602$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.22 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 41c | 1,269$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.39 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 1,258$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.76 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Over | 47c | 855.32$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 368.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 348.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 332.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 241.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 201.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 198.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 47c | 193$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 50c | 192.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…a4a3backed Under | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 51c | 145.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 144$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 114.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 55c | 97.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 45c | 97.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 89.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…614dbacked Over | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 78c | 64.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 69c | 53.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 69c | 52.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 50.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Over | 48c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 48c | 39.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 38c | 35.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 47c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 28.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 69c | 26.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 54c | 21.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 68c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 78c | 17.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 76c | 15.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.