WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ed8e8551d78e6f5f092c622c6cd4f48d823c4e7bd48148b99be63e041d9efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 37,249$19,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,225.22 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 22,963$11,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,935.45 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 51c | 5,080$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.68 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 49c | 4,443$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.42 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,067$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.82 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 53c | 1,912$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.03 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 51c | 1,665$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.15 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 33c | 1,423$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.93 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,341$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.81 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,295$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 1,176$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.11 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Under | 47c | 805.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 775.32$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.9 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 709.78$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 31c | 546.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.3 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 525.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.57 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 53c | 475.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 408.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 373$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 276$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 51c | 245.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 245.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 229.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 209.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 201.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 164$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 27c | 148.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 48c | 143$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 129.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 100.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 40c | 63.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 58.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 47c | 53.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 46.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 51c | 46.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 43.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 32.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 38c | 32.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 49c | 31.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 31.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…2debbacked Over | 53c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 22.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.