TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c12,072$6,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,156.8479648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb2…b98ebacked Over49c5,057$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.15666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622c…4309backed Over49c5,005$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.381957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under12c4,704$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7238940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over46c4,500$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.999042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under54c4,164$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.848051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.998259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under55c1,805$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c1,592$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.021,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over50c1,538$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.2314452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Over50c1,282$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c1,154$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.361,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f4…3dc9backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c940.47$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.131,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over55c912$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1936754%198 W · 169 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under42c868.16$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4618157.5%104 W · 77 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over44c635.79$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.257338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c615.27$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3790449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Under52c599.63$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.783053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a6…1adcbacked Over51c598.13$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd313…41a7backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under22c509.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8910528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c503.8$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0976142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…e23dbacked Over49c497.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.71060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…1b3cbacked Over49c497.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cbf…4e4ebacked Over49c497.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.71163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c490$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.639450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over46c405.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.055862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over44c405$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4513147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c402.28$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6951552.6%271 W · 244 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under54c350.09$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7515746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under48c259.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8414148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c256$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1293248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c244.46$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4571245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Over45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under51c228$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7416450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…6872backed Over48c207.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.523933.3%13 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over52c204$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9228753.3%153 W · 134 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under17c200.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.378748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10740247.3%190 W · 212 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cc…056ebacked Over49c198.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under48c195.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7228140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f2…1f23backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c181.91$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3126247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under52c153$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.562142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over52c133$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.254748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c7…cd28backed Over46c130.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under22c126.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1719857.1%113 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f6…d13ebacked Over50c110.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.141540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.64562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78154.3%44 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under17c105.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.513355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c105.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8117946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa2…ed7cbacked Over47c104.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…e9b2backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd9…bd9bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55d…c0a2backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x130a…2fa7backed Over48c102.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under17c89.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.138556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over55c88.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.675856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over50c78.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.478850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c75.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2723245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Over68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under52c56.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0411053.6%59 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x658b…ad0fbacked Over50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Under29c55.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2716151.6%83 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1957…0e20backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Over50c49.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.583161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over49c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3506…04bdbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under51c42.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.759336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Under52c42.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225066%33 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over54c38.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.737147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfae…155ebacked Under45c35.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under50c33.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7562746.9%294 W · 333 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under54c26.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2825247.6%120 W · 132 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over62c18.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8836950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.