WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 194.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cac6cf03b51fc7bb34f4fcdd87b8f8c996c4d12f0f0bf953cccc1aee08f4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 13c | 6,000$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 55c | 5,858$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.53 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Under | 10c | 5,222$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Under | 12c | 2,600$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 49c | 1,971$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.42 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 1,738$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.89 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 1,376$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.68 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 1,286$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.75 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 48c | 1,112$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.12 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 814.75$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.48 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Under | 12c | 642$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +258%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 23c | 633.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 36c | 599.95$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 56c | 340.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 57c | 310.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 303.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 10c | 288.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 274.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 42c | 273$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 9c | 219.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 184.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…4669backed Under | 13c | 178.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 72c | 125.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 58c | 63.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 57.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 73c | 56.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 51.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 46c | 46.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 55c | 36.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 56c | 22.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 194.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 191.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.