WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 191.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd634ee7430fd312d707f3dae70a85309308887ac6f8b695b98f4914d69c47f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 50c | 34,475$17,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,407.08 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 4,617$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.54 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.99 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 2,853$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.09 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 7c | 2,629$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Under | 4c | 2,626$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +258%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 50c | 2,475$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.58 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 1,751$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.96 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,707$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.5 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 51c | 1,281$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.24 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 18c | 886.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 7c | 615$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 608.74$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 7c | 537$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 76c | 326.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 7c | 324.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…a6dbbacked Over | 51c | 189.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 50c | 176.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Over | 58c | 98.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Over | 51c | 92.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 80.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 51c | 29.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over | 49c | 21.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 191.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 194.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.