WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b456c946231ca1164940e593801b2f6a87845f2811a26e432fba1fc690075c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Under | 51c | 3,511$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 43c | 2,271$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 1,989$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.58 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,371$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.12 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Under | 68c | 1,317$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.1 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 1,267$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.91 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,042$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.67 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 962.34$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.54 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Under | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Over | 47c | 688.64$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 621.22$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 43c | 599.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Under | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 54c | 407.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 56c | 354.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 349.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 65c | 297$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 27c | 292$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 62c | 239.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Under | 43c | 221.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 48c | 210.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 47c | 199.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 54c | 167.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 48c | 160$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 43c | 149.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 55c | 142.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 137.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 46c | 119.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Over | 49c | 107.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Over | 53c | 102.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 36c | 102$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 95.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 85.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 54c | 83.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 68.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…84e1backed Under | 57c | 60.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 59c | 58.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 55c | 54.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd3…8920backed Under | 47c | 52.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Under | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 46c | 49.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 56c | 41.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…efacbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 54c | 33.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…d921backed Under | 53c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 42c | 29.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 54c | 27.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 58c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 54c | 21.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 52c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…a760backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 188.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.