WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd827e2322dd289b9d73e30d8b67db0b8f1097e7874139f7b932d90c0a9fef3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Over | 53c | 5,881$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,064$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 52c | 2,282$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.67 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 1,527$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.84 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,477$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.59 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,364$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.76 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 50c | 1,356$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.04 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,289$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.28 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 927.53$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.21 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 855.9$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 48c | 617.84$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.63 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 11c | 523.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 48c | 471$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 335$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 283.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Over | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 280$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 49c | 274.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 12c | 260$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 48c | 130.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 53c | 112.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 51c | 109.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 46c | 99.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 53c | 92.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Over | 55c | 87.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…a760backed Under | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 52c | 55.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 48c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Over | 56c | 51.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 49c | 43.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 40.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 44c | 39.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 44c | 38.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 38.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 51c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 49c | 30.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 49c | 29.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 40c | 29.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 39c | 26.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 51c | 24.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 50c | 23.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 51c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 23.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 51c | 22.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 188.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.