Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1405f577dc6c166d231a728e891353b5825b41bd1501009eed872027c145c1ca

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Power Rangersof Ilbirs eSports, Power Rangers
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Ilbirs eSports	49c	4,051$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers	60c	2,498$1,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.68	480	54%259 W · 221 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Ilbirs eSports	17c	1,580$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.6	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Power Rangers	61c	1,372$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.19	508	50.8%258 W · 250 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers	66c	1,006$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.08	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	507	69.2%351 W · 156 L	+33.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Power Rangers	55c	800$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Power Rangers	68c	799.32$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.78	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Power Rangers	64c	781.25$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.25	466	64.2%299 W · 167 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Ilbirs eSports	33c	755$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.41	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Ilbirs eSports	40c	750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports	29c	695.56$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.09	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports	36c	643.31$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.59	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports	33c	623$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.59	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Ilbirs eSports	39c	560.62$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Ilbirs eSports	39c	536.54$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.14	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Power Rangers	71c	536$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.49	540	58.9%318 W · 222 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed Ilbirs eSports	33c	521.11$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.58	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…8ee6backed Ilbirs eSports	34c	438.85$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.74	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Ilbirs eSports	32c	428.05$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.98	310	55.2%171 W · 139 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Power Rangers	50c	420$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Ilbirs eSports	44c	362.38$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.45	476	50.8%242 W · 234 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Ilbirs eSports	41c	344.21$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.08	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Ilbirs eSports	36c	337.41$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.96	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ilbirs eSports	45c	324$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.99	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Ilbirs eSports	32c	281.25$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	372	53%197 W · 175 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Power Rangers	60c	277.96$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.96	224	38.8%87 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports	35c	256.3$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.13	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Ilbirs eSports	47c	245$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.09	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports	24c	211.1$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.81	440	49.3%217 W · 223 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Power Rangers	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Power Rangers	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Ilbirs eSports	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Power Rangers	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	324	45.1%146 W · 178 L	+14.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Power Rangers	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbbf…6930backed Ilbirs eSports	37c	199.64$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.02	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Power Rangers	68c	199.25$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-13.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Power Rangers	80c	199.01$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports	35c	188.68$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.43	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Power Rangers	41c	180$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.2	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Power Rangers	67c	176.23$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.48	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers	76c	174.37$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.38	915	53.3%488 W · 427 L	+48.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Power Rangers	69c	171$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.01	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Power Rangers	69c	171$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.01	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Ilbirs eSports	32c	164.81$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	583	56.8%331 W · 252 L	+28.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Power Rangers	67c	158.65$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.58	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Ilbirs eSports	35c	142.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	426	39.4%168 W · 258 L	-39.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked Power Rangers	73c	124.29$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.89	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports	26c	105$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.67	569	45.2%257 W · 312 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Power Rangers	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	587	46.5%273 W · 314 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Power Rangers	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.35	665	45.6%303 W · 362 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Power Rangers	41c	99.44$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.67	502	47.6%239 W · 263 L	+31.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Power Rangers	64c	90.63$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d51…71a5backed Ilbirs eSports	13c	86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a08…ebdcbacked Power Rangers	60c	84.21$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Ilbirs eSports	39c	83.96$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ilbirs eSports	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	669	47.1%315 W · 354 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Power Rangers	66c	75.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.67	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Power Rangers	59c	72.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Ilbirs eSports	19c	69.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	281	45.6%128 W · 153 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed Ilbirs eSports	47c	60.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed Power Rangers	69c	58.1$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Ilbirs eSports	37c	54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	683	45.8%313 W · 370 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…4065backed Power Rangers	63c	54$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.98	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Ilbirs eSports	36c	52.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Power Rangers	68c	51.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-8.2wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Power Rangers	65c	50.72$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed Power Rangers	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ilbirs eSports	42c	49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	645	47.8%308 W · 337 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports	44c	48.41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Ilbirs eSports	34c	48.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ilbirs eSports	32c	48$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	143	36.4%52 W · 91 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Ilbirs eSports	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Power Rangers	52c	38.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	194	49%95 W · 99 L	+11.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Power Rangers	43c	37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.09	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+5.9wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Power Rangers	44c	36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+7.6wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Ilbirs eSports	37c	35.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	286	50%143 W · 143 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Power Rangers	56c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.57	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Ilbirs eSports	36c	35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Power Rangers	72c	29.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	302	51.7%156 W · 146 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked Ilbirs eSports	36c	29.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	117	47.9%56 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b00…3d66backed Ilbirs eSports	43c	27.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Power Rangers	76c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.22	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Power Rangers	68c	19.23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group APower Rangers won
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event