TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.8547646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax45c9,924$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,483.511,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Syntax11c7,165$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.041,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports62c6,799$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.311,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports41c5,598$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.9448057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Syntax49c5,318$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.8180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports55c4,682$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.0895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Ilbirs eSports55c4,419$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.8134051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…0935backed Ilbirs eSports34c3,974$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Team Syntax2c2,728$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.28175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Team Syntax2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Ilbirs eSports36c2,325$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.212252.5%64 W · 58 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Team Syntax45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9414646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Ilbirs eSports52c2,204$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.796440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Ilbirs eSports55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.823951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Ilbirs eSports55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.823764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Ilbirs eSports70c2,177$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.6492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Ilbirs eSports55c2,013$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.2626550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Team Syntax2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Syntax47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9930452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d59…8b19backed Ilbirs eSports43c1,929$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.374540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Ilbirs eSports55c1,835$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.4912255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Ilbirs eSports55c1,822$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports52c1,821$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.781,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Syntax56c1,796$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports47c1,698$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Team Syntax5c1,577$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Ilbirs eSports55c1,555$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.7525549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Team Syntax2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Team Syntax2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports52c1,498$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.3150353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Team Syntax3c1,380$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.59110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Ilbirs eSports54c1,302$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.896352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports44c1,292$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.6589938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Syntax47c1,200$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.357449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Ilbirs eSports55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9114343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Ilbirs eSports56c1,043$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.854055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports41c1,031$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.0489238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Ilbirs eSports56c1,000$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4119458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Team Syntax3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed Ilbirs eSports48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Syntax21c999.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21318143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Ilbirs eSports61c982.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.6810251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Team Syntax43c947.63$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.766342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed Team Syntax69c931.85$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.653951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Ilbirs eSports46c910$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.312934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Syntax44c907.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Ilbirs eSports55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40528145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Ilbirs eSports55c898.19$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.514346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports53c876.52$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax31c865.69$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1270052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6155…808ebacked Ilbirs eSports25c842.95$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.376440.6%26 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Ilbirs eSports53c746.25$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2526147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed Ilbirs eSports53c730$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.72263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+75.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports38c685.32$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6791553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ilbirs eSports37c671$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.811,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b7…c49bbacked Ilbirs eSports29c631.29$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+154.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Ilbirs eSports61c629.6$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.66451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Ilbirs eSports30c603.11$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0710453.8%56 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Syntax55c600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327753.2%41 W · 36 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Team Syntax55c600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5264…7eb9backed Team Syntax55c600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Team Syntax55c600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Syntax55c600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328953.9%48 W · 41 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bb5…3a71backed Team Syntax58c599.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.996669.7%46 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Ilbirs eSports48c598.56$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.971844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Ilbirs eSports50c567.47$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6929352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Ilbirs eSports35c544.05$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0521447.2%101 W · 113 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed Team Syntax40c533$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4621047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Syntax50c521.45$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Ilbirs eSports57c505.39$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3240644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax52c499.35$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.171,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Team Syntax50c469.6$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2376240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Ilbirs eSports53c462.49$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4410551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Ilbirs eSports49c450$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6a…9fb9backed Ilbirs eSports31c450$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.52045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ilbirs eSports55c425.85$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6314655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed Ilbirs eSports45c420.53$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.693132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports50c413.11$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Syntax46c408.2$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.571,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Team Syntax51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210353.4%55 W · 48 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+26.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Team Syntax34c400$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1346446.9%30 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed Team Syntax34c400$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Team Syntax34c400$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Ilbirs eSports28c399.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6119251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax47c396.24$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.351,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax41c388.94$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Ilbirs eSports30c333$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.16844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Ilbirs eSports56c311.01$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.371,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Syntax57c305$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4511445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports48c293.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0756945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Ilbirs eSports58c282.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0725956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Syntax15c277.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0737745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports39c270.81$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.771,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Ilbirs eSports66c258.32$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.712559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked Team Syntax51c255.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.654156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Team Syntax55c254.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.998439.3%33 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports45c251.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.391,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Ilbirs eSports60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.631865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Ilbirs eSports59c222.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6642053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.