Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeebd788a89463f8aa50f2843c89a65db553138f1dfa3c1001729cf2ac4398529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 8,224$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.27 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax | 34c | 4,701$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.19 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Syntax | 22c | 4,221$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.88 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Syntax | 5c | 3,724$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Team Syntax | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 773.5$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax | 28c | 772.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax | 16c | 769.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax | 28c | 715.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Syntax | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 455$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 394.7$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 380.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Syntax | 37c | 365.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Syntax | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Syntax | 42c | 205.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax | 20c | 195.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 186.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax | 10c | 174.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax | 14c | 168.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 162.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 148 | 61.5%91 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Syntax | 29c | 159.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Team Syntax | 13c | 139.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 138.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax | 27c | 121.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 108.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Syntax | 35c | 97.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Syntax | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Team Syntax | 23c | 86.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 86.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Syntax | 31c | 85.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 72.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 69.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports | 80c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Syntax | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 45.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Team Syntax | 36c | 34.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 30.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group AIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.