Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058039118f4409bba1302a72a50fb92b2ee1b458b65c9ade4b487b7827cff094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,089$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 456.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 439.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 73c | 299.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 76c | 271.84$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 7c | 184.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 72c | 139.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 28c | 70.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 28c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Over | 78c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 24.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5this page
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: AS Omónoia Leukosías O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Lincoln Red Imps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.