WNBA · resolved market

Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198deaf6a18bf2b0729530c0fd01bc3a68928d73006ad3f0ca5bc030866694a5

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,816 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	13c	19,230$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.9	367	50.7%186 W · 181 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	49c	16,305$8,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,068.9	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	52c	9,191$4,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,429	237	46.4%110 W · 127 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	50c	4,735$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,381.2	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over	50c	4,129$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,064.69	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	50c	3,026$1,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.49	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under	50c	1,951$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.61	91	40.7%37 W · 54 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	50c	1,700$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	20c	1,320$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.68	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	1,068$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.41	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over	52c	1,001$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.62	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under	46c	741$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.9	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	47c	668.79$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.33	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under	51c	588.23$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.23	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under	50c	453.17$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.17	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Under	50c	440$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	49c	399.11$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.29	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	256$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.68	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under	51c	254.96$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.93	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-9.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ce0…c935backed Over	50c	205.88$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	49c	167.98$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.35	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	53c	157$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.21	164	50%82 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under	73c	153.24$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.72	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-10.7wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under	50c	143$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.5	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over	31c	134.32$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	72c	106$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over	52c	105.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over	50c	105$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	50c	103.5$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f3c…1c56backed Over	18c	100.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-24%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over	49c	100.52$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	141	48.9%69 W · 72 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	51c	99.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under	50c	96.82$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.41	296	54.4%161 W · 135 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	44c	94.93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.92	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	50c	88.02$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	329	48.6%160 W · 169 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	77c	84.15$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.16	192	57.3%110 W · 82 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over	53c	84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	71cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	62c	72.69$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.73	246	56.5%139 W · 107 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	62c	72.67$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.66	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bca…0500backed Over	50c	51.26$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over	50c	49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	53c	45.65$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.37	123	59.3%73 W · 50 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	26c	45.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	349	18.3%64 W · 285 L	-49.5wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	49c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	48c	42.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Over	50c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	48c	40.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.19	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…cd28backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	58cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	51c	39.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	144	50%72 W · 72 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe602…9446backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ebe…6dccbacked Over	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	35.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	51c	32.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	31.68$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.73	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Under	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	49c	30.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over	51c	30.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under	48c	27.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over	51c	27.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under	69c	25.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.04	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	184	41.8%77 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under	48c	21.69$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1a…ff69backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over	53c	19.36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	58c	17.48$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.34	69	69.6%48 W · 21 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	69c	16.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.1	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5this page
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Under won
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Washington Mystics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event