WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba5a394890b2a255937ec69fa349f350ba91d0d1b22dc7247d8c8b94b8077f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Atlanta Dream, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 27,120$13,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,102.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 14,006$7,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.12 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 13,545$7,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,063.44 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.96 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 6,517$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.89 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 3,716$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.36 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 3,162$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,798$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,745$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.26 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.98 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 2,683$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.18 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,802$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 1,430$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.21 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 1,346$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.29 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 732.23$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.76 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 640.18$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 571.68$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 536.54$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 519.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 416$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 376$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 322$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 306.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Washington Mystics | 76c | 264.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 205.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 204.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 176.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 139.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 105.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 33c | 85.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 61.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…02c3backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 49.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…efacbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…421ebacked Washington Mystics | 75c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Under won
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.