WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d2c0c8ac13727c7a81ded88a158d40e7a4d6669603e59c80cc43011a1f00b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Atlanta Dream, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.69 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 8,384$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.34 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 8,150$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 7,992$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.79 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 5,970$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.4 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 2,985$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.68 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 2,816$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.96 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.95 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,585$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 1,680$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.27 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 1,281$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.3 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 908.55$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 7c | 544.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 498.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 417$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 380$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…bf62backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 259.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 256$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 204.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 186.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 140.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 138.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 136.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 114.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 102.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 101.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 100.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 100.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 91.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 87.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 72.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…cd58backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 71.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 64.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 63.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 56.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…d1b1backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 55.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f04…ea38backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 35.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…e80bbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 35.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 33.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 28.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 24.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Under won
- Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.