Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389902320f06937e9985468958617ba419265933545e660105e91c4637c412b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof No Hoodwink, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed No Hoodwink | 50c | 20,099$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.5 | 480 | 46.5%223 W · 257 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 307 | 52.1%160 W · 147 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Level UP | 47c | 5,950$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.12 | 486 | 57.4%279 W · 207 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked No Hoodwink | 47c | 5,736$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.97 | 809 | 55.9%452 W · 357 L | +21.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked No Hoodwink | 52c | 5,653$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.92 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Level UP | 60c | 5,474$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.52 | 545 | 59.3%323 W · 222 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No Hoodwink | 0c | 5,298$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 392 | 46.2%181 W · 211 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 50c | 5,198$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.17 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked No Hoodwink | 41c | 4,785$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.06 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Level UP | 49c | 3,106$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.44 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Level UP | 58c | 3,077$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.64 | 802 | 59.1%474 W · 328 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Level UP | 48c | 2,851$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.56 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 2,424$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Level UP | 51c | 2,385$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.85 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Level UP | 74c | 1,803$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.39 | 130 | 64.6%84 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…83eabacked Level UP | 45c | 1,793$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Level UP | 51c | 1,730$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.72 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP | 47c | 1,666$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.65 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed No Hoodwink | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Level UP | 51c | 1,350$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed No Hoodwink | 57c | 1,273$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.87 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Level UP | 65c | 1,234$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.67 | 421 | 53.4%225 W · 196 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Level UP | 53c | 1,001$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.21 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Level UP | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 704 | 35.4%249 W · 455 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked No Hoodwink | 57c | 999.99$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.92 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Level UP | 36c | 780$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked No Hoodwink | 49c | 775.96$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 621 | 55.9%347 W · 274 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Level UP | 51c | 755.2$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.05 | 542 | 44.5%241 W · 301 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Level UP | 52c | 733.7$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 1,126 | 36.2%408 W · 718 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No Hoodwink | 30c | 724.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Level UP | 54c | 720.35$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.71 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed No Hoodwink | 30c | 700$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked No Hoodwink | 40c | 697.85$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.29 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP | 54c | 685.81$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.52 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed Level UP | 47c | 684$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…3691backed Level UP | 49c | 681.71$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Level UP | 44c | 678.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.68 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Level UP | 48c | 661.14$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Level UP | 52c | 620$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Level UP | 55c | 586.72$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Level UP | 70c | 573.75$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Level UP | 52c | 558.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Level UP | 47c | 552.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.69 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Level UP | 41c | 542.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 541.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 585 | 56.8%332 W · 253 L | +28.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Level UP | 62c | 538.59$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 216 | 60.6%131 W · 85 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Level UP | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Level UP | 48c | 518.43$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Level UP | 52c | 501$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Level UP | 51c | 500$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Level UP | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked Level UP | 63c | 478.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Level UP | 48c | 477.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No Hoodwink | 48c | 464.75$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.86 | 1,525 | 38%579 W · 946 L | -56.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Level UP | 54c | 451.53$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 684 | 45.9%314 W · 370 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed No Hoodwink | 52c | 430$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 406.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed Level UP | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Level UP | 66c | 397.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Level UP | 52c | 394.74$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked No Hoodwink | 44c | 382.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Level UP | 52c | 369$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Level UP | 53c | 364$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Level UP | 62c | 348.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Level UP | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Level UP | 48c | 331.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Level UP | 55c | 321.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Level UP | 52c | 315$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…6930backed No Hoodwink | 64c | 313.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Level UP | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Level UP | 51c | 310.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Level UP | 57c | 309.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3a71backed Level UP | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Level UP | 43c | 294$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Level UP | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 707 | 52.5%371 W · 336 L | +48.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Level UP | 64c | 243.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Level UP | 41c | 225$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Level UP | 48c | 218.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No Hoodwink | 53c | 205.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed No Hoodwink | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 199.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Level UP | 33c | 199.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Level UP | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 486 | 50.8%247 W · 239 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Level UP | 51c | 191.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 432 | 60%259 W · 173 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Level UP | 40c | 190$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Level UP | 60c | 189$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 575 | 45.2%260 W · 315 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 183.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -14.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Level UP | 55c | 180.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 590 | 42.9%253 W · 337 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Level UP | 69c | 179$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 797 | 41.9%334 W · 463 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 57c | 178.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No Hoodwink | 52c | 175.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked No Hoodwink | 43c | 172.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Level UP | 54c | 167$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Level UP | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 228 | 39.5%90 W · 138 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked Level UP | 64c | 157.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Level UP | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed No Hoodwink | 42c | 137.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Level UP | 53c | 131$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 125.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 417 | 32.6%136 W · 281 L | -38.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed No Hoodwink | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerNo Hoodwink won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.