Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9581d74afffb59cc3ddd13dda2c63cccd46d0430f4cf95532909c0e6bfbbe28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- No Hoodwinkof No Hoodwink, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked No Hoodwink | 45c | 7,340$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.44 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Level UP | 1c | 6,205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Level UP | 53c | 6,006$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.12 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Level UP | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed No Hoodwink | 60c | 4,022$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.11 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 43c | 3,666$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.98 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed No Hoodwink | 35c | 2,694$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.61 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Level UP | 40c | 2,603$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.66 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Level UP | 52c | 2,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked No Hoodwink | 52c | 2,241$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.22 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Level UP | 49c | 1,700$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.98 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked No Hoodwink | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed No Hoodwink | 51c | 1,471$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.72 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked No Hoodwink | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.59 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed No Hoodwink | 36c | 1,397$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.58 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Level UP | 43c | 1,396$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.48 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked No Hoodwink | 73c | 1,343$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP | 54c | 1,288$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.82 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked No Hoodwink | 57c | 1,235$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed No Hoodwink | 60c | 1,212$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.54 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No Hoodwink | 58c | 1,067$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Level UP | 72c | 933.65$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Level UP | 76c | 888.66$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.18 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked No Hoodwink | 74c | 850.39$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed No Hoodwink | 57c | 805.3$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.3 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 609.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.88 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Level UP | 65c | 606.74$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.38 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Level UP | 72c | 562.46$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.96 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Level UP | 31c | 530.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No Hoodwink | 47c | 505.21$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Level UP | 32c | 459.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Level UP | 9c | 431.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP | 54c | 427.89$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked No Hoodwink | 33c | 416.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.84 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked No Hoodwink | 48c | 399.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed No Hoodwink | 65c | 392.83$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Level UP | 18c | 375.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Level UP | 67c | 356.72$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Level UP | 43c | 351.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Level UP | 63c | 317.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Level UP | 42c | 307.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Level UP | 65c | 303.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Level UP | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3a71backed No Hoodwink | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked No Hoodwink | 37c | 249.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…3691backed No Hoodwink | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Level UP | 48c | 239.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -15.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Level UP | 45c | 202.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked No Hoodwink | 80c | 185.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Level UP | 30c | 177.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Level UP | 51c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Level UP | 25c | 173.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed No Hoodwink | 33c | 173.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 46c | 172.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Level UP | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked No Hoodwink | 37c | 155.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Level UP | 31c | 153.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Level UP | 65c | 150.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed No Hoodwink | 45c | 146.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Level UP | 53c | 145.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…c744backed No Hoodwink | 36c | 137.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Level UP | 60c | 137.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…3193backed No Hoodwink | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Level UP | 49c | 131$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked No Hoodwink | 41c | 129.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Level UP | 61c | 128.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Level UP | 65c | 128$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No Hoodwink | 59c | 110.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Level UP | 54c | 107.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Level UP | 59c | 101.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No Hoodwink | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed Level UP | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Level UP | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed No Hoodwink | 46c | 88.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No Hoodwink | 39c | 77.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked No Hoodwink | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed No Hoodwink | 40c | 72.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed No Hoodwink | 25c | 66.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -9.1wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 60.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 272 | 59.2%161 W · 111 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed No Hoodwink | 69c | 59.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No Hoodwink | 50c | 57.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Level UP | 26c | 57.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Level UP | 69c | 56.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked No Hoodwink | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed No Hoodwink | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Level UP | 29c | 46.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No Hoodwink | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…bde1backed No Hoodwink | 39c | 43.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Level UP | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed No Hoodwink | 49c | 41.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked No Hoodwink | 41c | 36.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No Hoodwink | 65c | 35.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Level UP | 31c | 33.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 2 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.