CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4e35b91ddcb9fe8e2aaee8d8705db3964dbce356d2fa098f363da40aea87da

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Butterfly
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,860 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked Nuclear TigeRES	56c	3,848$2,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,676.01	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.99	439	51.7%227 W · 212 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly	43c	2,410$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.69	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Nuclear TigeRES	55c	1,256$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.3	233	56.2%131 W · 102 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Butterfly	41c	778.91$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.1	519	42.2%219 W · 300 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Butterfly	44c	757.33$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.67	331	46.5%154 W · 177 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Nuclear TigeRES	63c	631.53$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.53	284	54.9%156 W · 128 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Butterfly	49c	594.97$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.56	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly	42c	575$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.88	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed Butterfly	45c	563.48$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.86	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Butterfly	46c	526$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.22	200	45.5%91 W · 109 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd68…0f6bbacked Butterfly	46c	504.8$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.21	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Butterfly	31c	441.93$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Butterfly	43c	439.29$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Butterfly	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	345	42.3%146 W · 199 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Nuclear TigeRES	58c	399.94$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.98	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Butterfly	20c	340$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	244	47.1%115 W · 129 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Butterfly	46c	334.87$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.04	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Butterfly	19c	333.68$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	573	22.3%128 W · 445 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Butterfly	46c	322$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.92	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Butterfly	46c	321$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.66	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Butterfly	25c	307.95$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.27	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Nuclear TigeRES	63c	300$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Nuclear TigeRES	52c	299.99$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	303	49.8%151 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Nuclear TigeRES	58c	282.76$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.75	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Nuclear TigeRES	54c	279.98$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.8	351	53.8%189 W · 162 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked Butterfly	42c	279.41$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.35	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e4…c6dabacked Butterfly	43c	258.26$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Butterfly	48c	246.32$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.8	442	44.1%195 W · 247 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Butterfly	24c	241.1$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.23	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe295…7df1backed Nuclear TigeRES	62c	234.62$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.48	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Butterfly	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ee…09a6backed Butterfly	32c	195.77$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Nuclear TigeRES	58c	180$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	295	43.1%127 W · 168 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Butterfly	47c	152.08$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-11.4wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Butterfly	42c	141.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Nuclear TigeRES	56c	140.09$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.57	610	54.9%335 W · 275 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Butterfly	46c	139.09$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.98	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Butterfly	41c	135.42$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed Nuclear TigeRES	49c	135$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.85	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Butterfly	33c	123.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c9…1ef1backed Butterfly	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Nuclear TigeRES	60c	85.42$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES	60c	77$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.7	673	72.2%486 W · 187 L	+119.1wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Butterfly	42c	76.68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.15	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Butterfly	42c	76$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.25	231	56.3%130 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Butterfly	48c	75.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	498	50.2%250 W · 248 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nuclear TigeRES	60c	73.18$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.54	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Nuclear TigeRES	58c	71.41$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	263	46.4%122 W · 141 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Butterfly	41c	69.68$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	694	45%312 W · 382 L	-24.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked Butterfly	46c	67.84$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Butterfly	53c	55.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Nuclear TigeRES	57c	55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	655	48.9%320 W · 335 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Nuclear TigeRES	61c	45.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	169	58%98 W · 71 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…2162backed Butterfly	51c	41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Butterfly	45c	33.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Butterfly	43c	32.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	164	45.7%75 W · 89 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked Butterfly	45c	31.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nuclear TigeRES	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	1,068	55%587 W · 481 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Butterfly	44c	22.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	368	56.8%209 W · 159 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Nuclear TigeRES	59c	16.95$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	850	54.4%462 W · 388 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event