CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0567c63bdf3701f59f54716b7cc46906dd9674ef63168044accba3acaa20a15d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Butterfly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 3,196$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.12 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Butterfly | 15c | 1,344$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 34c | 735.13$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Butterfly | 14c | 700.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 33c | 651.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Butterfly | 13c | 575.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Butterfly | 5c | 542.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly | 33c | 526.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Butterfly | 35c | 432.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Butterfly | 33c | 427.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Butterfly | 23c | 402.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Butterfly | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Butterfly | 5c | 328.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Butterfly | 12c | 298.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Butterfly | 10c | 272.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 205.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Butterfly | 45c | 180.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 158.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Butterfly | 34c | 151.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Butterfly | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Butterfly | 17c | 113.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…bc54backed Butterfly | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Butterfly | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d51…71a5backed Butterfly | 34c | 77.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 73.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 498 | 66.9%333 W · 165 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Butterfly | 36c | 63.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Butterfly | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Butterfly | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 47.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 42.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Butterfly | 33c | 40.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Butterfly | 36c | 38.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Butterfly | 34c | 29.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.