TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7ee…09a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.4
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.52
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.05
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.74
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$88.2
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.95
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$136.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$143.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.15
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.18
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$85.25
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$56.95
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.43
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winnerbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$60.54
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$56.12
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+150.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.