CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc0854df3367426c0a8744c9bc4ef39141c6208615bcf2c1a4945f724aeb271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed eSuba | 51c | 750$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked NAVI Junior | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed NAVI Junior | 61c | 425.52$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed eSuba | 53c | 357.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked NAVI Junior | 50c | 307.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 324 | 57.4%186 W · 138 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 260.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed NAVI Junior | 49c | 259.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NAVI Junior | 49c | 242.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed eSuba | 68c | 192$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked eSuba | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NAVI Junior | 52c | 159.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked NAVI Junior | 64c | 154.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed eSuba | 38c | 136.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eSuba | 63c | 136.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…09a6backed eSuba | 51c | 122.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked eSuba | 63c | 115$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NAVI Junior | 38c | 112$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked eSuba | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked NAVI Junior | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked eSuba | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked eSuba | 51c | 98.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed NAVI Junior | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed eSuba | 72c | 89.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 83.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed eSuba | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NAVI Junior | 48c | 70.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed eSuba | 57c | 61.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 58.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked NAVI Junior | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed eSuba | 74c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NAVI Junior | 37c | 47.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked eSuba | 46c | 45.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed eSuba | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked eSuba | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eSuba | 53c | 37.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NAVI Junior | 34c | 37.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NAVI Junior | 44c | 30.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed eSuba | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8382backed NAVI Junior | 66c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked eSuba | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group StageeSuba won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.