CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ed3b8868a6571c2898dd6894d4b4969046a34f4e672cbef5bd6736bfbe47f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 51c | 1,964$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 1,512$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.22 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 33c | 1,327$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.63 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1WIN | 61c | 1,195$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.1 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 7c | 981$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 612.11$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 522.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 406.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 5c | 371.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 303$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 250.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 211.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 1WIN | 44c | 200.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 162.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 151.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 109.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed 1WIN | 56c | 108.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 96.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUBY | 34c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…aca5backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 90.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…09a6backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed 1WIN | 51c | 52.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 1WIN | 36c | 47.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 43.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN | 42c | 42.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed 1WIN | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed 1WIN | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 30.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 26.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.