CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed492c90bc550923aac48413bd5f77eec1ec457681af50304aabf58f0c305f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof 1WIN, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb43…4201backed 1WIN | 39c | 27,171$10,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,654.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 16,028$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.65 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 3,153$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.8 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 29c | 1,933$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.98 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 1WIN | 55c | 1,811$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.69 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 1,803$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.28 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1WIN | 58c | 1,378$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.06 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 1,191$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.58 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 980.84$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.95 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded1…eedfbacked 1WIN | 49c | 889.83$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 1WIN | 54c | 887.76$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.39 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 40c | 833.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 750$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 640$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 540.56$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 538.19$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 519.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed 1WIN | 70c | 501.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 481.93$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 421.03$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 399.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 342$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.58 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked ex-RUBY | 25c | 320$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed 1WIN | 17c | 311.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked ex-RUBY | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 298.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 269.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 269.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 251$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 230 | 37.8%87 W · 143 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 213.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 200.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed 1WIN | 16c | 188.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN | 37c | 176.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 167.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…aca5backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 167.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…2ef6backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 161.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 160.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed 1WIN | 64c | 155.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed 1WIN | 48c | 146.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 136.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked ex-RUBY | 29c | 115.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 51c | 103.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 98.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 65c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked 1WIN | 69c | 86.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 70.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked 1WIN | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked 1WIN | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 50.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUBY | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…50f7backed 1WIN | 67c | 44.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 44.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed 1WIN | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…d62abacked 1WIN | 48c | 32.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked 1WIN | 60c | 26.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…05f5backed 1WIN | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked 1WIN | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.