TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, 9INE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9INE57c14,671$8,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,420.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid40c6,781$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.7461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Liquid43c4,383$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7110143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 9INE59c4,248$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.072,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Liquid47c3,329$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.3725355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 9INE55c3,277$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.3566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Liquid45c2,286$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.885731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed 9INE59c2,000$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.453754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Liquid43c1,913$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.4422044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Liquid42c1,663$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.9432844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Liquid43c1,630$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.5834140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed 9INE56c1,561$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.3512348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Liquid54c1,430$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.6875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9INE46c1,368$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.013,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed 9INE55c1,363$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked 9INE52c1,226$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5716443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Liquid42c1,111$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3847147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…e58bbacked Liquid41c1,079$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 9INE58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.992,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Liquid44c1,014$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.443850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Liquid42c711.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3321351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed 9INE56c550$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Liquid41c525.07$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.791,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed 9INE60c501.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Liquid44c430.01$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0113738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Liquid48c416.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6132344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Liquid42c415.91$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7317052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Liquid45c399.76$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3455039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid44c390.28$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.965,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Liquid45c390$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.622,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Liquid47c380$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Liquid41c374.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9748851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Liquid46c365.54$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3923732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Liquid45c351.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3821545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed Liquid45c349.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.857027.1%19 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc79b…b9eebacked Liquid40c340.03$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.021553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid43c321.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Liquid42c305.55$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2224840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Liquid42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17424746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Liquid44c281.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Liquid44c220.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6611952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Liquid48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3337949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 9INE58c195.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Liquid47c177.21$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.156033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Liquid41c154.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1114443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Liquid48c148.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.181752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…195cbacked Liquid42c134.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.161827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked 9INE58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68653.5%46 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Liquid46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.860451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Liquid44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.649257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Liquid44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6419347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Liquid44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6449651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked 9INE57c108$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5611844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Liquid47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.387255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Liquid42c104.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.523141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Liquid49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0214335%50 W · 93 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed 9INE58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5865946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Liquid40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…2b73backed Liquid55c99.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.496434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Liquid41c98.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.977234.7%25 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Liquid47c96.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3612055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ee…09a6backed Liquid41c95.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.121250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe040…fc3abacked Liquid43c89.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed 9INE57c82.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.641,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Liquid42c80.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.715536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Liquid44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.839338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Liquid44c52.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.279938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9INE46c51.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.017,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed 9INE58c50.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4367750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked 9INE60c48.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e8…3fe0backed Liquid59c44.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed 9INE58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed 9INE59c42.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7823465%152 W · 82 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed 9INE60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed 9INE59c41.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3819453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Liquid44c39.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.891945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ab…c8dfbacked Liquid42c34.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked 9INE58c31.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed 9INE46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.968659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 9INE41c29.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.071,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed 9INE44c27.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1716445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed 9INE60c27.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.460954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9INE57c24.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed 9INE58c22.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.988658.1%50 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked 9INE57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.415060.7%91 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed 9INE60c19.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6510457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed 9INE58c18.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820156.2%113 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.