CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x186fa1653d6161f5806743db45b48e952f8fc69bac306e7118c4618845c9ccb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof UNiTY esports, ex-Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed UNiTY esports | 48c | 649.77$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Young Ninjas | 46c | 469.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 426$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UNiTY esports | 49c | 323.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked UNiTY esports | 49c | 291.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 61c | 275.52$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 39c | 257.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Young Ninjas | 79c | 225$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked UNiTY esports | 36c | 220$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed UNiTY esports | 54c | 215$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 51c | 204.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 38c | 187$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UNiTY esports | 40c | 161.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed ex-Young Ninjas | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 52c | 91.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…09a6backed ex-Young Ninjas | 70c | 81.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UNiTY esports | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b94…ab4ebacked UNiTY esports | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNiTY esports | 44c | 43.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed ex-Young Ninjas | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Young Ninjas | 51c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked UNiTY esports | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked ex-Young Ninjas | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 34c | 30.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed ex-Young Ninjas | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked UNiTY esports | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: UNiTY esports (-3.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+3.5)UNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.