CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe376834b2a2c2d3d809d56d0b134ab827894391554ee21908387b979f7be7b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 1,324$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 703.59$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.95 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NEW VISION | 50c | 699.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed NEW VISION | 52c | 545.9$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.88 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed NEW VISION | 58c | 521.38$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 480.72$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 453.13$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked NEW VISION | 45c | 432.6$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 402.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NEW VISION | 44c | 397.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 302.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 51c | 224.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 222.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NEW VISION | 30c | 210.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 201.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 182.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed NEW VISION | 28c | 170.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 159.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NEW VISION | 57c | 153.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 151.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NEW VISION | 46c | 150.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 130.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NEW VISION | 62c | 127.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NEW VISION | 61c | 123.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NEW VISION | 32c | 120.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…09a6backed ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NEW VISION | 56c | 87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 32c | 68.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NEW VISION | 32c | 60.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed NEW VISION | 62c | 58.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NEW VISION | 72c | 57.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 45.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NEW VISION | 56c | 40.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 32.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…bf43backed NEW VISION | 72c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NEW VISION | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked NEW VISION | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 25.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed NEW VISION | 71c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-RUSTEC | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)NEW VISION won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)ex-RUSTEC won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.