CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca85eaee96994725b136f1ee2e8025fdc18d511bf648cd09599193fc262c977f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof ex-RUSTEC, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 8,974$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NEW VISION | 48c | 8,757$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.54 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 2,537$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.16 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NEW VISION | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 1,081$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.3 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 783.79$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.29 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 780.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NEW VISION | 56c | 600$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION | 52c | 500.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed NEW VISION | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NEW VISION | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NEW VISION | 47c | 190.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 166.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked NEW VISION | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked NEW VISION | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked NEW VISION | 49c | 124.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 121.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 120.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked NEW VISION | 51c | 106.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked NEW VISION | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked NEW VISION | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 242 | 55.8%135 W · 107 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed NEW VISION | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed NEW VISION | 50c | 77.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NEW VISION | 49c | 72.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked NEW VISION | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked NEW VISION | 55c | 48.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed NEW VISION | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed NEW VISION | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…9bbbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked NEW VISION | 49c | 36.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed NEW VISION | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 32.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed NEW VISION | 50c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked NEW VISION | 54c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 28.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked NEW VISION | 48c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed NEW VISION | 64c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)NEW VISION won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)ex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.