CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b21b5567aa14cb945177da77da294e1786911c2ee0e441ff6303f47274c806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof ex-RUSTEC, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 2,734$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.39 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NEW VISION | 55c | 1,820$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.72 | 1,126 | 54.4%613 W · 513 L | +38.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION | 33c | 1,056$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.79 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 809.65$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.95 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed NEW VISION | 28c | 692.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.52 | 365 | 44.7%163 W · 202 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 578.38$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.8 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed NEW VISION | 41c | 557.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed NEW VISION | 57c | 544.46$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed NEW VISION | 64c | 374.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 472 | 63.6%300 W · 172 L | +51.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 341.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NEW VISION | 30c | 300$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 922 | 45.8%422 W · 500 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 28c | 280.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 263.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 670 | 48.1%322 W · 348 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked ex-RUSTEC | 20c | 213.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 209.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 433 | 55.2%239 W · 194 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 340 | 49.7%169 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 15c | 182.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked NEW VISION | 45c | 175.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -16.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 138.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 32c | 124.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NEW VISION | 31c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 113.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC | 31c | 113$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed NEW VISION | 29c | 110.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 409 | 39.1%160 W · 249 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC | 21c | 92.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed NEW VISION | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 412 | 56.8%234 W · 178 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NEW VISION | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed NEW VISION | 74c | 76.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 749 | 39.1%293 W · 456 L | -28.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked NEW VISION | 28c | 72.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed NEW VISION | 28c | 66.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NEW VISION | 50c | 65.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked NEW VISION | 29c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 556 | 34.7%193 W · 363 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 62.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 56c | 49.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked NEW VISION | 25c | 44.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked NEW VISION | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked NEW VISION | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 260 | 34.2%89 W · 171 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed NEW VISION | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)NEW VISION won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)ex-RUSTEC won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.