MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7971361d210bf1149a17bce466c024716a0e227a400e499b432ba359c595d0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Under | 41c | 23,600$9,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,761.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 18,345$10,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.18 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 41c | 8,425$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.03 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 59c | 8,298$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.02 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 6,984$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.47 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 2,839$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.94 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 70c | 2,579$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.26 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 2c | 2,575$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 2c | 2,499$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 54c | 1,613$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.09 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,314$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 1,308$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.37 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 1,277$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.19 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 1,108$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.76 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.39 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 55c | 1,050$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.65 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 984.94$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.62 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 816.76$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.82 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 698.91$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.79 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 696.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 617.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.37 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 555.56$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 56c | 547.54$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 55c | 498.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 52c | 449.96$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 390$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 51c | 360.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 357.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 42c | 351.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 333.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 62c | 301.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 59c | 296.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…3c07backed Under | 47c | 265.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over | 55c | 245.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Over | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 58c | 225.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Under | 11c | 189.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 63c | 188.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 50c | 181.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 51c | 145.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 38c | 127.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Over | 34c | 127.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 58c | 122.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 42c | 119.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…7164backed Under | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 51c | 108.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 56c | 107.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 60c | 98.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 61c | 97.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 56c | 96.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 52c | 79.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 74.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 47c | 67.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 62.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 46c | 57.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 56c | 56.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 56c | 56.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 68c | 54.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 65c | 41.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 65c | 41.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 52c | 40.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 35.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 52c | 26.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 62c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 58c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.